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Iran Update, May 1, 2025

We do not report in detail on war crimes because these activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We utterly condemn violations of the laws of armed conflict and the Geneva Conventions and crimes against humanity even though we do not describe them

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Iran Update, April 30, 2025

We do not report in detail on war crimes because these activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We utterly condemn violations of the laws of armed conflict and the Geneva Conventions and crimes against humanity even though we do not describe them

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Africa File, May 1, 2025: AU, Turkey, and United States Surge to Halt al Shabaab; DRC Peace Talks; Uganda’s Role in the Eastern DRC

Note: “ISS” stands for IS Somalia Province. Source: Liam Karr; Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime. Democratic Republic of the Congo Authors: Yale Ford and Liam Karr The following text is adapted from “Congo War Security Review Special Edition: Slow and Steady—What to Make of DRC-M23 Peace Talks” Qatar and the United States have advanced

Africa File, May 1, 2025: AU, Turkey, and United States Surge to Halt al Shabaab; DRC Peace Talks; Uganda’s Role in the Eastern DRC Read More »

Iran Update, May 2, 2025

We do not report in detail on war crimes because these activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We utterly condemn violations of the laws of armed conflict and the Geneva Conventions and crimes against humanity even though we do not describe them

Iran Update, May 2, 2025 Read More »

Africa File Special Edition: Uganda in the DRC’s M23 Conflict—Friend to All, Enemy to None

Key Takeaway: Uganda is working with actors on multiple sides of the conflict in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) to hedge and strengthen its sphere of influence. Uganda has developed a security partnership with the DRC in recent years. However, Uganda also maintains ties to the Rwandan-backed M23 rebel movement and has

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