Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 1, 2025

Note: ISW does not receive any classified material from any source, uses only publicly available information, and draws extensively on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media as well as commercially available satellite imagery and other geospatial data as the basis for these reports. References to all sources used are provided in the endnotes of each update.

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[1] https://www.kmu.gov dot ua/npas/pro-pidpysannia-uhody-mizh-uriadom-ukrainy-ta-uriadom-spoluchenykh-shtativ-ameryky-pro-t300425 ; https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/05/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-secures-agreement-to-establish-united-states-ukraine-reconstruction-investment-fund/ ; https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0126

[2] https://www.facebook.com/yulia.svyrydenko/posts/29225505903760077?ref=embed_post ; https://suspilne dot media/1007245-ukraina-i-ssa-pidpisali-ugodu-pro-korisni-kopalini/

[3] https://www.kmu.gov dot ua/npas/pro-pidpysannia-uhody-mizh-uriadom-ukrainy-ta-uriadom-spoluchenykh-shtativ-ameryky-pro-t300425

[4] https://www.kyivpost.com/post/51858 ; https://www.eurointegration.com dot ua/news/2025/05/1/7210648/ ; https://www.kmu.gov dot ua/npas/pro-pidpysannia-uhody-mizh-uriadom-ukrainy-ta-uriadom-spoluchenykh-shtativ-ameryky-pro-t300425

[5] https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/05/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-secures-agreement-to-establish-united-states-ukraine-reconstruction-investment-fund/

[6] https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6372162561112 ; https://suspilne dot media/1007769-amerikanskij-kapital-bude-castinou-slahu-ukraini-do-procvitanna-bessent/ ; https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/1917912248762179727

[7] https://www.foxnews.com/video/6372129037112

[8] https://oglobo.globo dot com/mundo/noticia/2025/04/28/a-bola-nao-esta-do-nosso-lado-diz-lavrov-sobre-negociacao-com-ucrania.ghtml; https://tass dot com/politics/1950329; https://isw.pub/UkrWar042825

[9] https://isw.pub/UkrWar042825

[10] https://tass dot ru/politika/23830683

[11] https://isw.pub/UkrWar041325

[12] https://isw.pub/UkrWar042925 ; https://isw.pub/UkrWar042825 ; https://isw.pub/UkrWar042825

[13] https://mid dot ru/en/foreign_policy/news/2012943/

[14] https://isw.pub/UkrWar042225

[15] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725

[16] https://t.me/warriorofnorth/7963

[17] https://x.com/UAControlMap/status/1917751712997335324 ; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9020 ; https://t.me/OMBr67/2630;

[18] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27805 ; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/90901 ; https://t.me/motopatriot78/35124

[19] https://t.me/RVvoenkor/90901

[20] https://t.me/RKadyrov_95/5684

[21] https://t.me/boris_rozhin/163103 ; https://t.me/mod_russia/52008

[22] https://t.me/motopatriot78/35124

[23] https://t.me/epoddubny/23311

[24] https://suspilne dot media/sumy/1007265-rosijska-armia-vdarila-po-promislovih-pidpriemstvah-u-sumskij-gromadi/ ; https://t.me/kobzarartemsn/4539 ; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/90917

[25] https://suspilne dot media/chernihiv/1007375-sili-oboroni-vidbili-sprobu-zahodu-rosijskoi-drg-na-cernigivsinu/

[26] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27868

[27]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725 ; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/9160

[28] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/05/01/mogly-vtrachaty-90-mehanizovanyh-syl-na-harkivshhyni-rosiyany-namagayutsya-vysnazhyty-syly-oborony/

[29] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/05/01/kyshyt-dronamy-ne-pidnimesh-golovu-na-vovchanskomu-napryamku-vorog-vykorystav-peremyrya-dlya-pidgotovky-shturmiv/

[30] https://t.me/RVvoenkor/90896 ; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/90925

[31] https://t.me/dva_majors/70265

[32] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/9160; https://t.me/dva_majors/70265

[33] https://t.me/fedorenkoys/1280 ; https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/04/30/tanky-zakinchylysya-rosiyany-staly-kydaty-v-bij-obshyti-zalizom-uraly-cherepahy/

[34] https://t.me/notes_veterans/23111

[35] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/9160

[36] https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9034; https://t.me/opbr_zsu/528; https://x.com/UAControlMap/status/1917751710769889385; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9039; https://t.me/bbps_vidarr/203

[37] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/9160

[38] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/04/30/za-misyacz-pobuduyut-mist-i-yizdytymut-na-potyagah-poblyzu-lymana-rosiyany-shturmuvaly-prykryvayuchys-peremyryam/

[39] https://t.me/mod_russia/51992

[40] https://t.me/WarArchive_ua/27781; https://www.instagram.com/reel/DJEMmVlMLiR/?igsh=a2Y5ZzRsdXNqY205; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9040; https://x.com/UAControlMap/status/1917751717459796427; https:// t.me/creamy_caprice/9009; https://t.me/apachi_fpv/352; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9009; https:// t.me/apachi_fpv/352

[41] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722

[42] https://t.me/wargonzo/26265

[43] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722 ; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/9160; https://t.me/dva_majors/70265

[44] https://t.me/wargonzo/26265

[45] https://t.me/mod_russia/51990

[46] https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/63903; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27858; https://t.me/yurasumy/22684 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/163149

[47] https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/63903; https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/63903 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27858

[48] https://t.me/yurasumy/22684

[49] https://t.me/yurasumy/22684

[50] https://t.me/boris_rozhin/163085

[51] https://x.com/Map_Hargoo/status/1917643202363863509; https://t.me/blacksky_3brop/23 ; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9035

[52] https://t.me/motopatriot78/35065

[53] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722 ; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/9160 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/163162

[54] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722

[55] https://t.me/motopatriot78/35120

[56] https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9036; https://t.me/BlackSeaLions/44

[57] https://t.me/motopatriot78/35108 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27810 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27875

[58] https://t.me/motopatriot78/35108

[59] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725 ; https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0AcCUV4UWg5YpKBH2S5f9RRzKa8spyUon9yGVTc1RnoRr6Yqa1bWBxARyFqqjUJLYl ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722

[60] https://t.me/motopatriot78/35069

[61] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725 ; https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0AcCUV4UWg5YpKBH2S5f9RRzKa8spyUon9yGVTc1RnoRr6Yqa1bWBxARyFqqjUJLYl ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722

[62] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27812

[63] https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/2719 ; https://www.facebook.com/pashtetof/posts/pfbid0iA88CCTGGxSGfV1kwT3jayD6cC71j4ba9MGjXiQJpEm12AKVkP8xpZTFuP4GhuFil

[64] https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/2720

[65] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/05/01/namagayutsya-sterty-z-lyczya-zemli-na-pivdni-okupanty-znyshhuyut-z-povitrya-slavne-misto/; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5TqaWCCdUg

[66] https://t.me/voin_dv/14687

[67] https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0kuoJXDmLdzC5nHd7pbPG12Gwhsrg5oZrkpaMSVbfjiYqYbbkEW25Az89AD7uCy1l; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725 ; https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0AcCUV4UWg5YpKBH2S5f9RRzKa8spyUon9yGVTc1RnoRr6Yqa1bWBxARyFqqjUJLYl; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722; https://t.me/wargonzo/26265; https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/05/01/namagayutsya-sterty-z-lyczya-zemli-na-pivdni-okupanty-znyshhuyut-z-povitrya-slavne-misto/

[68] https://t.me/motopatriot78/35075; https://t.me/motopatriot78/35116 ; https://t.me/ZA_FROHT/41856

[69] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23722 https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/23725 ; https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0AcCUV4UWg5YpKBH2S5f9RRzKa8spyUon9yGVTc1RnoRr6Yqa1bWBxARyFqqjUJLYl;

[70] https://t.me/kpszsu/33636

[71] https://t.me/odeskaODA/9506 ; https://x.com/ZelenskyyUa/status/1917876521127002334 ; https://t.me/kpszsu/33636 ; https://t.me/dsns_telegram/42097